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Evaluating physical climate risk data, vendor methodologies, and the reliability of risk assessments used in finance and planning

Climate Risk Data Quality

Evaluating physical climate risk data, vendor methodologies, and the reliability of risk assessments used in finance and planning

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Climate Risk Data Quality Is a Market Problem, Not Just a Methods Problem

Public climate data is abundant but coarse. Asset-level risk analysis needs resolution public data can't provide, so a private, well-funded market has emerged to close that gap with proprietary, often AI-driven methods. We think that market's structure — who can afford fine-grained data, and who can't — is itself a climate justice problem, made worse when the data isn't even reliably accurate.

  • · Public satellite/reanalysis data (NASA, ESA/Copernicus) is openly available but coarse by design — ERA5 runs on a ~31km grid, far too coarse for single-building decisions
  • · That resolution gap creates a commercial market for asset-level data, often via proprietary AI-driven downscaling, dominated by well-capitalized banks, insurers, and vendors
  • · If only well-funded companies can produce high-quality fine-grained data, access becomes a climate justice problem — hitting hardest the regions least responsible for climate change
  • · We argue for challenging the funding model, the underlying methods, and the market model together, while staying honest that no general solution exists yet
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